On Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model predicts a win for the Saints — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Falcons are averaging 307.3 yards per game on offense this year (20th in NFL), and they are allowing 326.7 yards per game (18th) on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive angle, the Saints are putting up 343.3 total yards per game (ninth-ranked). They rank 21st in the NFL on the other side of the ball (335.3 total yards surrendered per game).

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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The Saints have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• New Orleans games have hit the over twice this year.
• The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.8% in this game.
• Atlanta has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
• The over/under in this matchup is 41 points, 4.2 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests.

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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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