Saturday’s contest features the Jackson State Tigers (1-13, 1-0 SWAC) and the Alabama State Hornets (6-9, 2-0 SWAC) facing off at Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center (on January 11) at 4:30 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 78-73 victory for Jackson State.

According to our computer prediction, Jackson State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The total has been set at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Jackson, Mississippi
• Venue: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
• Line: Jackson State -3.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Jackson State -184, Alabama State +148

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Jackson State 78, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Jackson State vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Jackson State (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Jackson State has a 7-7-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama State, who is 6-7-0 ATS. The Tigers have a 5-9-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Hornets have a record of 7-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 139.8 points per game combined, 5.7 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Jackson State is 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall over its last 10 contests, while Alabama State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Jackson State Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a -285 scoring differential, falling short by 20.4 points per game. They’re putting up 61.9 points per game to rank 359th in college basketball and are giving up 82.3 per contest to rank 356th in college basketball.
• Jackson State comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 7.1 boards. It is recording 30.9 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 38.0 per outing.
• Jackson State knocks down 6.3 three-pointers per game (312th in college basketball) while shooting 29.1% from deep (342nd in college basketball). It is making 4.3 fewer threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 10.6 per game while shooting 38.4%.
• The Tigers rank 361st in college basketball by averaging 76.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 351st in college basketball, allowing 101.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Jackson State has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 14.5 per game (345th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.8 (119th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 2.4 points per game (posting 77.9 points per game, 112th in college basketball, while conceding 80.3 per contest, 343rd in college basketball) and have a -35 scoring differential.
• Alabama State records 30.3 rebounds per game (302nd in college basketball) while conceding 36.9 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 6.6 boards per game.
• Alabama State knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 34.8% from deep (131st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 35.0%.
• Alabama State has committed 2.6 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 9.1 (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (206th in college basketball).

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