Our computer model predicts a win for the Kansas City Chiefs when they play the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Chiefs are totaling 328.3 yards per game on offense (15th in NFL), and they rank 13th on defense with 326.8 yards allowed per game. The Saints rank 12th with 349 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 16th with 330.3 total yards surrendered per contest on defense.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has covered three times in four games with a spread this year.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• In 2024, three New Orleans games have hit the over.
• The average total for Saints games is 44.9 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this game.
• Kansas City has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this season.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread this season (0-1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• This season, games featuring the Chiefs have hit the over twice.
• Chiefs games average 45.4 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 2.4 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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